Guess 2/3 of the Average Game

[lukpwh]

Guess 2/3 of the Average Game (ENDED)

Winner prize: 6 nether stars, 16 iron blocks and $4000 in game money

In this week, you can participate in this number guessing game.  The event ends at Monday 12:00am GMT (16 May, 2016).
You can choose any number between 0 and 100 (integers, decimal numbers, fractions, irrational numbers, etc.).

Choose your number by sending a PRIVATE MESSAGE on forums to me (lukpwh) (press the icon on the left of this post under my profile).  The choice that is closest to two thirds of the arithmetic average (or just average) of all the guesses will receive the prize.  In other words, if the average of all the player's guesses is A, and if your choice is closest to ⅔A, you will win the game.

If multiple players answer the same choice (which is closest to 2/3 of the average), the prize will be split evenly among them.

All invalid choices will not be counted into the final calculation.  Also, if you messaged me more than 1 time, only the 1st valid choice will be counted.



You will also receive an additional prize if the difference between your guess and 2/3 of the average is:
less than 5.0: $100
less than 3.0: $300
less than 2.0: $500
less than 1.0: $1000




20 players participated in this event.  The average of their guesses is 39.35112468, so 2/3 of the average is 26.23408312.

Name	Guess	Difference
Novensides	0.001	26.23
DanteVentura	3.14159... (pi)	23.09
bricer123	5	21.23
Eagler1997	13	13.23
enderaptor	15	11.23
ZwemmendeBoom	21.679901	4.55	$100
Old_Peculiar	22	4.23	$100 - CLAIMED
migas94	26	0.23	6 nether stars, 16 iron blocks and $5000
Aurum_Crescent	35.7	9.47
SuperSonic14045	38	11.77
Spooky	41.6	15.37
CharlieMoon_	42	15.77
Epicnata	42	15.77
Pauizz	44.8	18.57
Fjerreiro	45	18.77
Jzargo	68	41.77
JohnBarry99	69	42.77
Aredus	74	47.77
NadaCookie	87.1	60.87
Barbibu1	94	67.77

[lukpwh]

To make the game more interesting, I have increased the winner prize and added some additional prizes as well.

[Frostemort]

I feel careful calculations can win this event. The only variable is how many people decide to participate. if we know that number we should be able to find the limit of the (2/3)A

[RNTenant]

I feel careful calculations can win this event. The only variable is how many people decide to participate. if we know that number we should be able to find the limit of the (2/3)A

   Good thinking but that isn't the only variable. Each number choice counts towards the average so, without knowing them, it is inconceivable we can determine such limits.

[Novensides]

Just guess 33.3 it's simple.

[lukpwh]

Just guess 33.3 it's simple.

If everyone guess 33.3, 2/3 of the average will be lower, and the ones who guessed lower will win instead.

Just think what others think what others think ... what others think what numbers will other players guess, and select your answer 

[Novensides]

If everyone does that then just guess 0.

[JohnBarry99]

If everyone does that then just guess 0.

vv

You can choose any number between 0 and 100 (integers, decimal numbers, fractions, irrational numbers, etc.).

[lukpwh]

If everyone does that then just guess 0.

If all players are 100% rational, they will all choose 0 and win the game, which is not the reality.  Instead you have to guess how many iterations other players will  go through when they select their choices.

[Canine]

This may sound sketchy, but what is everyone's favorite number? 

[Aureus Lunae]

This may sound sketchy, but what is everyone's favorite number? 

666, which people mistakenly confuse for the number of the devil. (Trust me on this, the circle on the 6 is the earth, pointing up to the heavens).

99

[lukpwh]

This may sound sketchy, but what is everyone's favorite number? 

You will know them next week

[Frostemort]

I feel careful calculations can win this event. The only variable is how many people decide to participate. if we know that number we should be able to find the limit of the (2/3)A

   Good thinking but that isn't the only variable. Each number choice counts towards the average so, without knowing them, it is inconceivable we can determine such limits.

You're right. I was probably high when I tried to do this math.

[lukpwh]

Congratulations migas94 for winning the guessing game!
Also congratulations Old_Peculiar and ZwemmendeBoom for guessing the number within 5.0 difference!

Thank you all players for participating the event!

[LilCharlie]

Not fair! Me and Epicnata have both won. 42 is the answer to the ultimate question of life the universe and everything.